Making proactive risk management
practical for business teams

Shielded was founded on a simple observation: companies hedge oil, currency, and interest rates — but not the geopolitical events that can wipe out 10–30% of annual revenue overnight. We're building the platform to change that.

The Problem We Solve

The rapid expansion of prediction markets — Kalshi, Polymarket, and others — has created something that didn't exist five years ago: liquid, real-time pricing for the probability of geopolitical events.

Shielded connects these probabilities to your company's actual financial exposure. We map your supply chain, revenue regions, and cost centers to specific events, then generate hedging recommendations that translate abstract geopolitical risk into concrete dollar-denominated action plans.

Our Approach

Data-Driven, Not Opinion-Based

We use market-derived probabilities from regulated exchanges — not analyst opinions or heat maps with arbitrary color scales. When a prediction market prices Hormuz closure at 7.3%, that number reflects real money from real traders with real information.

Company-Specific, Not Generic

Generic geopolitical risk reports tell you the world is dangerous. Shielded tells you exactly how dangerous it is for YOUR company — in dollars, mapped to your specific supply chain dependencies and revenue exposures.

Actionable, Not Academic

We don’t just identify risk — we tell you what to do about it. Specific hedging instruments, position sizes, cost-benefit analysis, and advisory review before any recommendation reaches your desk.